As we’ve already seen, 2020 is a very strange and unpredictable year. So it’s safe to assume the four months that remain before voters go to the polls may be just as topsy-turvy as the ones that have preceded it.
What does all of this mean for the political landscape? Well, with the incumbent president, Donald Trump, falling further behind presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden, there’s an increasing belief that Trump may attempt some sort of last-ditch Hail Mary maneuver in order to try and revive his moribund bid for a second term.
While some have suggested that Trump might just drop out of the race, it seems more likely that he’ll made a move that would preserve his electability by sacrificing someone else. And the name that keeps coming up is Vice President Mike Pence, who doesn’t poll well with the all-important suburban women demographic, which has caused a great deal of chatter inside the party that Pence might be on his way out, according to Politico:
“The most dramatic version of a shakeup scenario is something that at least in some moods Trump has previously pondered: Dumping Mike Pence.
“’He would throw Mike Pence in a wood chipper if he needed to,’ said one former White House official who frequently interacted with Trump. ‘I’m still very surprised that he’s on the ticket. If someone walks in there and tells him, ‘The only way you’re going to pull this out is to put an African American on the ticket or to put a woman on the ticket’ — if it’s good for Trump, he’ll do it in a second.”
But who would take Pence’s place? One name that’s been tossed around is Nikki Haley, the former GOP governor of South Carolina who also served as Trump’s UN ambassador. But if Trump wanted to reach out to African-Americans, he might try to convince Sen. Tim Scott (R-SC) or HUD Secretary Ben Carson to run with him.
However, there’s also a danger in booting Pence from the ticket:
“The problem with this scenario is that it is likely too late to do any good, even if Trump were willing to betray the loyal Pence. It would smack of desperation and endanger the support of religious conservatives who have a marriage of convenience with Trump but genuine devotion to Pence.”
Or, as the old saying reminds us, Damned if you do, damned it you don’t.
Rest assured that Trump will toss anyone (friends, family, ANYONE) under the bus in order to save his own ass. So Mike Pence might want to prepare himself for the worst. Considering how unpredictable this year has already been, literally anything could happen.