If there’s one thing Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) is good at reading, it’s the political tea leaves when it comes to his own party, and right now the leaves show a very dark future for the GOP.
Politico is reporting that McConnell, along with GOP Chair Ronna Romney McDaniel, is telling President Trump that Republicans will likely lose control of both houses of Congress in the 2018 midterm election:
“McConnell has said privately that both chambers could be lost in November. House Speaker Paul Ryan (R-WI) has told donors that he fears a wave of swing district Republican lawmakers could retire rather than seek reelection.”
McDaniel put her worries in writing and delivered them directly to the White House:
“A few weeks before Alabama’s special Senate election, President Donald Trump’s handpicked Republican National Committee leader, Ronna Romney McDaniel, delivered a two-page memo to White House chief of staff John Kelly outlining the party’s collapse with female voters.
“The warning, several people close to the chairwoman said, reflected deepening anxiety that a full-throated Trump endorsement of accused child molester Roy Moore in the special election — which the president was edging closer to at the time — would further damage the party’s standing with women. McDaniel’s memo, which detailed the president’s poor approval numbers among women nationally and in several states, would go unheeded, as Trump eventually went all-in for the ultimately unsuccessful Republican candidate.”
Also, with Trump’s approval ratings in the low to mid-thirties in recent polling, it seems unlikely that the president will be able to help on the campaign trail for Republicans in vulnerable districts. He could, in fact, wind up harming anyone he campaigns with or on behalf of. Such is the price of being Typhoid Donald.
Scott Jennings, a former top political adviser in the George W. Bush White House who is close to McConnell, said Trump’s entire presidency could be over with soon after the midterms in 2018:
“There are 10 months to improve the fundamentals here, and the Senate map is, on paper, good. But maps don’t make majorities and I think there’s a realization that there’s at least a 50 percent chance one or both chambers could fall. In less than one year, this first term could be, for all intents and purposes, over if the Democrats take control of either chamber.”
And, should both houses fall to the Democrats, Trump will likely be impeached. No wonder he was so eager to get that tax bill passed. It may well be his only legislative achievement before he’s booted from office.
This article was originally published by the same author at LiberalAmerica.org