The 2016 Presidential election will technically take place in all 50 states, but some 11 states are considered to be swing or battleground states, and that’s where the election will be most hotly contested and where it will ultimately be won.
The latest polling data from those key 11 states has some very good news for Hillary Clinton: She leads in seven of them by margins ranging from four to 17 points over Donald Trump. Such is the stuff landslides are made of.
Of the seven states surveyed by Ballotpedia, Clinton’s lead was slimmest in Iowa, where registered voters preferred her by just four points. Clinton’s biggest lead came in Michigan, where Trump has said he can definitely compete in November. Clinton leads the Trump in Michigan by 17 points, 50 percent to 33 percent.
Meanwhile the former Secretary of State also has leads in the states of Florida (14 points), Pennsylvania (14 points), and North Carolina (10 points) Clinton leads by nine points in Ohio and seven points in Virginia.
When respondents were offered another option–Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson–Clinton’s lead in the states shifted slightly. In a three-way race, Clinton’s lead among those surveyed shrank to three points in Iowa and six points in North Carolina. But with Johnson’s as an option, Clinton’s lead actually grew to 15 points Pennsylvania and eight points in Virginia.
The presumptive Democratic nominee also got good news today from statistical guru Nate Silver, who said that Clinton has a 79 percent chance of being the next President of the United States. Trump has a 20 percent chance of reaching the White House:
— Good Morning America (@GMA) June 29, 2016
Silver compared the election a football game, remarking:
“We’re at halftime of the election right now. She’s taking a 7-point, maybe a 10-point lead into halftime. There’s a lot of football left to be played. She’s ahead in almost every poll, every swing state, every national poll.”
It should be noted that Silver called 49 states correctly in the 2008 presidential election and got all 50 right in 2012.
This article was originally published by the same author at LiberalAmerica.org.