While the Republicans are playing out their sordid nomination drama–complete with candidates discussing the size of their genitals and attacking each other’s wives–they should be more focused on what happens in November should current front-runner Donald Trump be the nominee.
The picture of what will transpire should the race wind up being Clinton-Trump is indeed terrifying for the GOP. Nate Silver, the founder of the website FiveThirtyEight, tweeted out a map showing which states go to which candidate in a Clinton-Trump race, and it’s the stuff of nightmares for Republicans. Not only do they lose, they lose by a bigger margin than in 2008 or 2012. Take a look:
Here's what the map might look like in an election held today. Trump's Rust Belt strength would help him keep MO, IN pic.twitter.com/OYueYvWFpG
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) March 24, 2016
That’s right, 374 electoral votes to 164. Clinton would even turn Georgia and North Carolina blue. Clinton would also win Arizona and Nevada. It’s a blowout, and it could also spell doom for GOP hopes of holding the Senate.
Other electoral polls also show a huge lead for the Democratic candidate: Fox News and Bloomberg show Clinton winning the race by 11% and 18% respectively. The most recent poll before that, Quinnipiac, has her margin of victory at 6%. No matter how you slice it, Election Day promises to be a bloodbath for the GOP.
Even worse for the Republicans is the simple fact of demographics: the United States is becoming more diverse, with Hispanics being the fastest growing minority group in the country. Since the GOP has already managed to alienate African-American voters, millennials, the LGBT community, Hispanics, Muslims, and large numbers of women, the pool of those willing to vote Republican continues to shrink with each passing day.
This article was originally published by the same author at LiberalAmerica.org.