It appears that Donald Trump’s reelection campaign is already conceding the state of Michigan and its 16 electoral votes, pulling all ad spending out of the state and shifting resources to other key battlegrounds.
The Hill reports:
“Trump’s recent withdrawal from the airwaves in Michigan came as his campaign shifted advertising dollars to other battlegrounds like Iowa. The move was first reported on Wednesday by The New York Times. According to the Times’s report, Biden has more than tripled Trump’s TV ad spending in Michigan over the last month.”
Recent polls show Biden gaining significantly in the Wolverine State, where he holds an eight-point lead in the FiveThirtyEight polling average.
The Trump campaign does have advertising buys in place for Michigan for September, but the sudden move of not spending more in the state suggests that strategists believe it to be a lost cause.
Michigan — along with Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — were the main reason Trump narrowly won in 2016. If his campaign has to forego the state, they’ll have to find another state or states to compensate for the loss, and that also looks like it could be tricky for the president as he seeks a second term in office.
Other polling shows Trump is also behind in battleground states such as Arizona, Florida, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. He is either even or slightly behind Biden in what are usually reliably red states. Those include Georgia, North Carolina, and even Texas.
It’ll be interesting to see in the coming weeks if the Trump campaign begins pulling money out of other states, and if so, what that means for the narrowing electoral map facing the incumbent.