There are now 47 days until the 2020 election, even though some states will begin early voting as soon as next week, and as the clock continues to tick away, President Donald Trump and Republicans are running out of time to reverse the dismal numbers they’re seeing in polls, especially in key battleground states.
“Public polling for the presidential election shows tight races, with former vice president Joe Biden ahead in North Carolina (1 percentage point), Florida (2.4), Texas (about 1 point) and President Trump ahead in Georgia (by less than 2 points). Before going further, let’s appreciate what rotten results these are for Trump. He is performing much worse than any GOP nominee since 1976. (It would be as if Biden had not nailed down Connecticut.) In Georgia, a Republican has not done this poorly since 1992. For Trump to be struggling with what should be slam-dunk states at this stage in the race is a sign for him and his supporters that something is really wrong.”
What’s going wrong for Trump and the GOP? The reasons are almost too numerous to list, but they include:
- Trump’s dismal reaction to COVID-19, which has killed more than 200,000 so far
- A sinking economy, which is in a deep recession and will probably remain in a slump until coronavirus is under control
- The president’s almost endless self-inflicted wounds, such as calling dead U.S. veterans “losers” and “suckers”
Two of the states that Trump leveraged into an electoral victory in 2016 are now strongly trending to Biden, Rubin continues:
“The states that are not really close at all are Michigan and Wisconsin, where Biden leads by averages of 7.5 and 6.8 percentage points, respectively. If Biden wins those states, as seems increasingly likely, even after Trump’s racial scare-mongering in Kenosha, Wis., he would need only one of the following to win (assuming everything else falls as it did in 2016): Pennsylvania (where Biden is up by nearly 5 points); Arizona (where Biden is up by about 5 points); plus a single delegate from Nebraska’s second congressional district; Florida; North Carolina; or Georgia.”
If Trump winds up losing to Biden, he may also be a drag on Republican candidates down the ballot, which could lead to the U.S. Senate turning blue and giving Democrats control of the entire federal government.
One fact that should terrify Trump and his party: He’s underperforming more than any Republican since 1976. That’s the year Jimmy Carter beat Gerald Ford. And now the current president is even weaker than the man who pardoned Richard Nixon. That alone says everything you need to know about the 2020 race.